The Butterfly Effect Inotungamira Mutengo Wekuwedzera muOcean Shipping uye Global Import Price.

Sekureva kwemushumo kubva kuUnited Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), kuwedzera kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu zvepasi rose kunogona kuwedzera mitengo yevatengi pasi rose ne1.5% gore rinouya uye mitengo yekunze neinopfuura 10%.
Mitengo yevatengi vekuChina inogona kukwira nechikamu che1.4 percent nekudaro, uye kugadzirwa kwemaindasitiri kunogona kudzikiswa ne0.2 percent.
Munyori Mukuru weUNCTAD, Rebeca Grynspan akati: “Zvikepe zvemugungwa zvisati zvadzokera kune zvakajairika, kuwanda kwemitengo yekutakura zvinhu kuchakanganisa zvakanyanya kutengeserana uye kukanganisa kusimba kwevanhu, kunyanya munyika dzichiri kusimukira.Mitengo yemitengo yekunze yakakwira neinosvika 11%, uye mitengo yakakwira ne1.5%.

 

Mushure meCCIDID-19 denda, hupfumi hwepasi rose hwakapora zvishoma nezvishoma, uye kudiwa kwekufambisa kwawedzera, asi huwandu hwekutakura hauna kuzombokwanisa kudzoka kune pre-denda.Kupokana uku kwakonzera kukwira kwemitengo yekutakura mugungwa gore rino.
Semuenzaniso, muna Chikumi 2020, mutengo wenzvimbo weContainer Freight Index (SCFI) munzira yeShanghai-Europe yaive isingasviki US$1,000/TEU.Pakupera kwa2020, yakanga yasvetukira kuUS$4,000/TEU, uye yakanga yakwira kusvika kuUS$7,395 pakupera kwaChikunguru 2021. .
Pamusoro pezvo, vatakuri vanotarisanawo nekunonoka kwekutakura, kubhadharisa uye zvimwe zvinodhura.
Chirevo cheUN chakati: "Ongororo yeUNCTAD inoratidza kuti kubva zvino kusvika 2023, kana mitengo yekutakura mumabhokisi ikaramba ichikwira, mutengo wepasi rose wezvigadzirwa zvekunze uchakwira ne10.6%, uye mutengo wevatengi uchakwira ne1,5%.
Kukanganisa kwekukwira kwemitengo yekufambisa munyika dzakasiyana kwakasiyana.Kazhinji, iyo nyika idiki uye nekuwedzera chikamu chezvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika muhupfumi, nyika dzakakanganisika dzinongoitika.
Small Island Developing States (SIDS) ndiyo inonyanya kukanganiswa, uye kukwira kwemitengo yekutakura kuchawedzera mitengo yevatengi ne7.5 muzana.Mitengo yevatengi munyika dzichiri kusimukira dzakavharirwa (LLDC) inogona kukwira ne 0.6%.Munyika dzisina kusimukira (LDC), mazinga emitengo yevatengi anogona kukwira ne2.2%.

 

 

Supply chain dambudziko

 

Iyo yakanyanya kusiiwa yekutenda munhoroondo, masupamaketi anorambidza kutengwa kwezvinodiwa zvezuva nezuva: nguva iri padyo nemazororo makuru maviri ekutenga eKutenda uye Kisimusi muUnited States.Nekudaro, masherufu mazhinji muUnited States haana kuzara.Ferment.
Iyo bhodhoro repasi rose rekupa cheni rinoramba richikanganisa zviteshi zveUS, migwagwa mikuru uye kutakura njanji.White House yakatotaura pachena kuti mumwaka wekutenga zororo wa2021, vatengi vachasangana nekushomeka kwakanyanya.Mamwe makambani achangobva kubudisa nhevedzano yefungidziro dzisina tariro, uye pesvedzero iri kuramba ichiwedzera.
Kuzara kwezviteshi kuWest Coast kwakakomba, uye zvinotora mwedzi mumwe kuti ngarava dzinotakura zvinhu dziburutse: Ngarava dzinotakura zvinhu dzakamira mumhenderekedzo yegungwa yokumadokero kweNorth America dzinogona kutora mwedzi mumwe kuti dzimise uye dziburutse.Zvigadzirwa zvakasiyana siyana zvevatengi zvakaita sematoyi, zvipfeko, midziyo yemagetsi, nezvimwe.
Kutaura idi, kutsvikinyidzana kwechiteshi chezvikepe muUnited States kwave kwakakomba zvikuru kwerinopfuura gore, asi kwakaderera kubvira muna July.Kushaikwa kwevashandi kwakaderedza kuburutswa kwezvinhu pazviteshi uye kumhanya kwekutakura kwerori, uye kumhanya kwekuzadzazve zvinhu kuri pasi zvakanyanya kudiwa.
Indasitiri yekutengesa yeUS inoodha kare, asi zvinhu zvichiri kusaunzwa: Kuti udzivise kushomeka kwakakomba, makambani ekutengesa eUS akatendeukira kukuedza kwavo kwakanyanya.Mazhinji makambani anozoodha nekukurumidza uye kuvaka hesera.
Zvinoenderana nedata kubva kuUPS's Delivery platform Ware2Go, kutanga kwaNyamavhuvhu, vazhinji vanosvika 63.2% yevatengesi vakaodha kumberi kwezororo rekutenga mwaka pakupera kwa2021. Vanenge 44.4% yevatengesi vaive neodha yepamusoro kupfuura makore apfuura, uye 43.3% vaive kupfuura kare.Rodha nekukurumidza, asi 19% yevatengesi vachiri kunetsekana kuti zvinhu hazvizounzwa nenguva.

Kune kunyange makambani anohaya ngarava ivo pachavo, vanotsvaga kutakura mhepo, uye vanoedza nepavanogona napo kumhanyisa zvinhu:

• Wal-Mart, Costco, uye Target vese vari kuhaya zvikepe zvavo kuti zvitumire zviuru zvemidziyo kubva kuAsia kuenda kuNorth America.
• Mukuru wezvemari muCostco, VaRichard Galanti, vanoti pari zvino pane ngarava nhatu dzavanoshandira, chimwe nechimwe chichitarisirwa kutakura mabhokisi mazana masere kusvika chiuru.

 

Hupfumi hwepasi rose hwave kuda kusimuka kubva munyonganyonga yakakonzerwa nedenda iri, asi hwakatarisana nekushomeka kwakanyanya kwesimba, zvinhu, zvigadzirwa, vashandi, uye zvekufambisa.
Dambudziko repasi rose rekutengesa rinoratidzika kunge risina zviratidzo zvekugadzirisa.Pamwe pamwe nekukwira kwemitengo yekugadzira, vatengi vachanzwa kuwedzera kwemutengo.